#forecastUnmoderated tagAll postsTrending CommunitiesSteemitCryptoAcademyNewcomers' CommunitySteemit Feedbackআমার বাংলা ব্লগKorea • 한국 • KR • KOSteem POD TeamSTEEM CN/中文Steem AllianceAVLE 일상WORLD OF XPILARBeauty of CreativityTron Fan ClubExplore Communities...#forecastTrendingHotNewPayoutsMutedsupower (32)in #korean • 22 days ago현재 한국 정부의 상황과 미래 예측: 국제 정세 속에서의 도전과 기회서론 2025년 3월, 한국은 정치적, 경제적, 그리고 국제적 격변의 시기를 맞이하고 있다. 윤석열 정부는 2022년 출범 이후 여러 논란과 도전을 겪으며, 현재는 경제 회복과 안보 강화를 핵심 과제로 삼고…o1eh (80)Author | Delegate [10000] 🇺🇦in Ukraine on Steem • 3 months agoЯким буде 2025 рік?Чого мене навчив досвід, так це того, що будь-які прогнози є неточними і абсолютно безглуздими. Втім людям властиво…leguna (78)in #election • 5 months agoHere are where the Senate and House forecasts stand.A lot more divergence in the models than the presidential race. Generally speaking Democrats are not favored to keep…zafrada (78)in #election • 5 months agoFinal election forecast check-in.The models have it as a pure toss-up. All 7 battleground states are well within striking distance for either…zafrada (78)in #us • 5 months agoGDPNow forecast.Final GDPNow nowcast estimates third quarter GDP will come in at a robust 3.3%. The actual release will be on the…arbitration (78)in #election • 5 months agoClose but not hopeless.Yes, it somehow really is this close, despite the rally with the creepy "MASS DEPORTATION NOW" signs, the talk of…pomeline (79)in #fivethirtyeight • 5 months agoFiveThirtyEight's Senate forecast is now live.More bearish on Democrats than the other Senate models. The model expects Republicans to get ~51-52 seats with…zafrada (78)in #election • 5 months agoLatest model probabilities from Split Ticket's forecasting.The Presidency and the House are basically pure toss-ups. As they note given race correlations, the winner of the…zafrada (78)in #election • 6 months agoThe Economist's Senate forecast.A year ago if you told me the Senate majority was still in play I'd have been deeply skeptical. The 2024 Senate map…arbitration (78)in #fivethirtyeight • 6 months agoFiveThirtyEight's House forecast is now live.Their initial forecast has it as a literal coin toss. Only 9 seats are rated as toss-ups. Only 27 seats are rated…solarshutdown (62)in #hurricane • 6 months agoHurricane Milton Is The First Hurricane To Hit Tampa In 103 Years - X Flare Alert - Sun Diving CometLee County officials urge those in evacuation zones to leave by tonight Hurricane Milton remains Category 5 storm;…zafrada (78)in #election • 6 months agoHere is an update on all the election forecasts.The Economist: Harris with a ~60% chance. FiveThirtyEight: Harris with a 58% chance. Nate Silver: Harris with a…zafrada (78)in #split • 6 months agoSplit Ticket's election forecast updates.Harris with 57% chance to win the presidency. Republicans with a 79% chance to take the Senate. And Democrats with a…solarshutdown (62)in #hurricane • 6 months agoHurricane Helene: Models show path toward Florida panhandle, state of emergency and evacuationsModels show path toward Florida panhandle, leading to state of emergency and evacuations HURRICANE HELENE…pomeline (79)in #split • 6 months agoThe folks at Split Ticket released their presidential forecast.Wonderful! Their initial forecast has Harris with a 62% chance of winning. They have Wisconsin and Michigan as…zafrada (78)in #election • 7 months agoDont trust election models.This is a good piece. I think election models can be useful for trends and to add color to the uncertainty inherent…pomeline (79)in #politics • 7 months agoHere's Decision Desk's Senate forecast.Currently the model expects Republicans to win the Senate at 70% with 52 seats to 48 seats. The model forecasts a…leguna (78)in #fivethirtyeight • 7 months agoFiveThirtyEight explaining their election forecast model changes.They simplified it so it is easier to understand. Instead of a full Bayesian model, they are running a polling…zafrada (78)in #election • 7 months agoDecisions desk forecast.Decision Desk has relaunched its election forecast now that Harris is the nominee. They forecast Harris with a 56%…pomeline (79)in #election • 7 months agoHere is Race to the White House's election forecast.They have Harris with a 55% chance of winning. They have Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and…
