The highest % of the outcome is that this is all a big fat bluff, just like xt, classic, and unlimited were. The actors at play know the consequences of a hardfork, and ASSUMING that the actors at play are not enemies of bitcoin but have another view about how to scale, will come to terms and accept the reality of things here: The network is not at full capacity, and it was a spam attack by Roger again, we don't need a contentious hardfork that would ruin the project.

If they still go through they unmask themselves as enemies of bitcoin.