Bitcoin (BTC) Morning Upate: Probability vs Certainty

in #bitcoin7 years ago

SUMMARY

Bitcoin (BTC) overnight price has recovered a bit and a bullish scenario would look like the below chart. The Elliott Wave 1,2,3,4,5 could have started for the higher degree wave 5.

However, the upward wedgey nature of the pattern still points to a maybe larger scale abc (red) correction for wave 4. IF this is the case, then perhaps one more incremental rise could bring the price closer to the apex and wave c could onset. The video has lots more details!

Legal Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Plain English: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.

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Fingers crossed, im hoping steem will be amazing in 5-10 years. what do you think the price of sttem will be bye then? @haejin

I support your words and like your post

I highly doubt. Uncharismatic and asocial people who just watch television and sit in front of the computer will still be boring for girls. Money is just one aspect, which is attractive on men. They want adveture too.

they need a CLOWN man not a business man

ALERT! PLEASE READ THIS ! I want to bring this to @haejin attention right away. Because I am a bit apprehensive. I have written a detailed article on it and No i am not looking for no Steem Rewards but a genuine thought and if valid it will shake the whole crypto community.
3 Major concerns -

  1. was Correction short-lived? Last time we had such Bull run in 2013 correction lasted over 21 months. The recent Bull run which ended in 2017 December reigned over 28 months. So ARE WE REALLY DONE with the correction in just 5 months?

  2. The assumed B Wave of ABC correction (5-3-5)was such short-lived. So are we still woking on B as shown below? It’s very Likely. So if so best case scenario, by rule B usually retraces between 38-79% of A ( which is $19800-$5900(end of A)=$13900). So B could be $5900+ 13900X.79= ~$16,880 which also predicted by @haejin in recent post

  3. Once B done, a devastating C wave is waiting for us NEXT which can take BTC to under $2k range. By rule, Wave C will always end beyond A i.e $5900. Please read my article for more details and share your opinions.

    LINK to my blog/article
    https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@dkalita123/are-we-done-with-correction-bitcoin-history-and-how-it-could-impact-it-s-future

I tend to agree with you friend...one thing we have going for us is that the percentage decline on this correction was already at one point around 70%...to me i look at this as the 0.786 retrace , so this could be the bottom...the only thing we can do is watch the indicators such as volume and MACD to see what type of action we are getting at around the possible Wave B projection area...I've talked to haejin about this and he is very aware of the possibility, but we just have to take it step by step...great chart

Thanks man. I need more feedback from people. You are correct it has retraced 70% at $5900 but this bull run started in Sep 2015. So I would assume a minimum of 78.6% is quite probable which could be completed by a downward wave C. Again in 2014 we had close 88% retracement. many has marked the whole ABC correction as shown below- which I believe is flawed for the reasons-

  1. Since A is 5 wave (5-3-5 Zigazag) C often same length as A which is not even close.
  2. C usually ends beyond A not the case again.
  3. when you look at sub-waves of Wave B which in itself can be flat or zigzag in either cases sub wave c << subwave a. which again violation of Elliot wave principles.
  4. last but not the least Wave C as shown below if you look very carefully impulse subwave 3 is the shortest one which again clear violation of Elliott wave principles.
    So when current assumptions are wrong it makes my case that stronger. I just want to warn people so they can collect their profit ( whatever they get at B) on time instead of waiting and losing it all.

Yeah you bring up a good point...this is the count that i came up with...this wasn't posted by me, but i came up with this a long time ago and saw this on twitter..if you notice, the last thrust up last year was only a 3 wave format...IMHO.....just more food for thought...but your post is definately something to keep in the back of our minds

This post was by a.shevelev002 on trading view

It's an interesting analysis but cryptos don't always follow those wave pattern pridictions. Cryptos are a lot more unpredictable and speculative than stocks. FUD and FOMO are much stronger in cryptos. Volatility is much stronger as well. So, we will have to wait and see.

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Haejin has warned us about this before. That we might be in a langer degree ABC.
So you might be right.....and maybe you are not.

by the way few days ago i posted this here - and looks like it is what happening A proper mirror image in a W shape meaning wave 5 could very well end at $11800 . I may be wrong like i said before

I always read your post.we can learn a lot from your great post.sir'i always upvote you.

In other words, bitcoin to $9900. Let it be!

Cryptocurrency is the valuable system to exchange market money..its a bitcoin and blockchain as a like this.
Thanks for sharing this blog.
Keep it up my dear.
Always with us please
Dear..

Nothing is certain, young padawan. The crypto is strong with this one

How can you be measured, because hard work pays so very true and real you been so hard working person, permission to call you chairman, because in my community that what we call success, really you are brilliant boss...