比特币与通缩(Bitcoin and deflation)
比特币与通缩
这篇文章《比特币经济学——债务通缩的漩涡》比较系统罗列了批评比特币的观点, 批评的主要论点是:“对比特币和相关加密币其有限的供应量(比特币为 2100 万)以及其通货紧缩的特性,这可能对经济发展有着不利因素。”
以上这种观点不正确,不存在债务通缩的漩涡,比特币是价值贮备的最有力竞争者。理由如下:比特币不会是唯一的数字货币。猜想未来的金融体系,第一层价值贮备,第二层金融工具,第三层应用激励。
第一层价值贮备,对应现有的:美元、黄金以及其他国际货币,被中心化控制,成为奴役人们的重要手段;未来可能的竞争者包括:BTC、LTC。
第二层金融工具,对应现有的:IPO、股票和债券,现有工具成本巨大,门槛极高;未来可能的竞争者包括:ETH。
第三层应用激励,对应现有的:银行积分、Q币和消费积分,这方面的功能没有充分发挥,潜力巨大;可能的竞争者包括:EOS,STEEM。
支付问题在区块链世界就是小儿科,在以三层中任何一个工具都可以承担部分支付功能。
从以上三层可以看出,如果经济发展,这三层的各工具会自发扩张,不会因此出现通缩。比特币经济学——债务通缩的漩涡提到各种论断的主要错误在于是把比特币看成整个数字货币世界。还有一个小的错误在于用传统的经济观点,来分析新的技术工具。
Bitcoin and deflation
This article Bitcoin Economics - The Vortex of Debt Deflation lists the criticisms of bitcoin. The main point of criticism is: "The limited supply of bitcoin and related cryptocurrency (bitcoin is 2,100) and its deflationary characteristics, which may have a negative impact on economic development."
This view is incorrect. There is no whirlpool of debt deflation. Bitcoin is the most powerful competitor of value reserve. The reason is as follows: Bitcoin will not be the only digital currency. Guess the future financial system, the first layer of value reserves, the second layer of financial instruments, the third layer of application incentives.
The first layer value reserve, corresponds to the existing: US dollar, gold, and other international currencies, they are centrally controlled and become an important means of enslaving people; potential competitors in the future include BTC and LTC.
The second layer financial instruments, corresponding to existing: IPO, stocks and bonds, the existing tools cost is huge, the threshold is extremely high; possible competitors in the future include: ETH.
The third layer application incentives, correspond to the existing: bank points, Q coins, and consumption points. The functions in this area are not fully realized and have great potential; possible competitors include: EOS, STEEM.
The payment is very easy in the blockchain world.
It can be concluded that if the economy develops, the three layers of tools will expand spontaneously and will not suffer from deflation. The main mistake in Bitcoin's economics - the vortex of debt deflation is that Bitcoin is seen as the entire digital currency world. Another minor mistake lies in they analysis new technological tools from the traditional economic point of view.
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