Charles Hanover: The Halving Effect and AI

2023 was a challenging year for the cryptocurrency market, but there were many positive signals as well. With the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, Bitcoin, as the core application of blockchain, is poised for new opportunities. In 2024, Bitcoin is expected to once again surpass $70,000, presenting investors with a remarkable opportunity that cannot be overlooked.
The Driving Force of Artificial Intelligence
NVIDIA recently announced breakthroughs in AI computing power, with its latest generation of chips set to significantly enhance the speed and efficiency of AI model training. This will accelerate the development of AI applications, with Bitcoin, as a core application of blockchain technology, standing to benefit greatly from these advancements.
In 2023, the global AI market reached $500 billion and is expected to grow to $2.2 trillion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25%. Similarly, the global blockchain market was valued at $10 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $350 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 80%. These figures indicate that both AI and blockchain will continue to experience rapid growth, positioning Bitcoin to capitalize on these developments.

The Halving Effect
Bitcoin’s halving mechanism, which reduces the mining rate every four years, decreases the supply of Bitcoin and typically drives up its price. The next halving is set for April 2024, and it is expected to trigger strong demand for Bitcoin, further driving prices upward.
Historical data demonstrates the impact of previous halvings:
In November 2012, after the halving, Bitcoin’s price rose from $12 to $1,100.
In July 2016, following another halving, the price surged from $600 to $20,000.
In May 2020, Bitcoin’s price increased from $8,000 to $60,000 after the halving.
The halving effect has repeatedly proven its positive influence on Bitcoin prices.
The Fed’s Interest Rate Cuts: A Positive Signal
The U.S. economy is currently grappling with both inflation and recessionary pressures, and the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by September 2024 at the latest to stimulate growth. Lower interest rates will benefit Bitcoin, as they weaken the dollar and drive more investors towards safe-haven assets like Bitcoin.
In December 2023, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 6.5% year-over-year, indicating that inflationary pressures remain. Additionally, the U.S. Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.4 in December 2023, signaling a contraction in manufacturing activity. These indicators suggest that the U.S. economy is facing downside risks, increasing the likelihood of Fed rate cuts.
AI4.0 Smart Trading System Predictions
The AquaSpring Quantum System’s AI4.0 Smart Trading System, which leverages advanced AI algorithms to analyze market data and trends, predicts that Bitcoin will surpass $70,000 within the next three months. This system provides accurate trading recommendations based on its deep analysis, offering an edge to investors looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s upcoming price movement.
Introduction of Bitcoin Spot ETFs
The launch of Bitcoin spot ETFs in 2024 will also have a significant impact on Bitcoin’s price. These ETFs will provide a more accessible way for investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin, while also attracting institutional capital to the market, driving prices higher.
Institutional investors are increasingly recognizing the value of Bitcoin and are beginning to incorporate it into their portfolios. This shift from the periphery to the mainstream means that more capital is likely to flow into the Bitcoin market.
Conclusion:
In 2024, Bitcoin will be presented with new growth opportunities. The rapid development of AI, the halving effect, expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs, and the influx of institutional investors will all contribute to driving Bitcoin’s price higher. The predictions from the AI4.0 Smart Trading System further strengthen the outlook for Bitcoin. It is expected that Bitcoin will surpass $70,000 in 2024, offering investors a compelling investment opportunity.
Disclaimer: The content provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice. Investors should carefully consider their own situation before making any investment decisions.