The epidemic has become the norm in life.

in #covid-194 years ago

Judging from the recent local confirmed cases in China, we can also feel that the second wave of the global epidemic is on the lookout.

It also serves as a warning that the outbreak is not far away and that there is a more intense trend around the world.

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What will the consequences of the spread of the epidemic on human society?

Three assumptions!
The first assumption is that it will eventually become a "blizzard" of the past. Human society, economic development, enterprises are basically healthy, but encountered a new crown epidemic, resulting in economic difficulties. But after the outbreak, the economy will come back to life, like a city caught in a snowstorm. In February and March of this year, economic experts and dignitaries of the country's assumptions are mainly this one.

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According to the current global state of affairs: the epidemic is becoming the norm in life, and residents of various countries are conscious of the necessary protection, under these conditions, can slightly reduce the intensity of infection. Perhaps in the near future can produce "group immunity" global work, economic restart. Is the first goal, but also our world survival of the basic conditions! Vaccine development is also accelerating! Expect......

The second hypothesis: the "trigger" of a serious disaster. The outbreak has detonated problems in the past in human society or in some countries, in the system, in the mechanism, like a trigger to detonate the bubble in the economy. The problems, which only flared up two or three years later, are now detonated early, with as many consequences as the global financial crisis of 2008.

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We've seen some sad conflicts when the outbreak first started, with some citizens protesting in cities and some countries being blamed for not acting on control of the outbreak. The recent "BLM" protests in the United States are certainly a long-standing problem that needs to be addressed quickly. Internal contradictions have long existed, but because of the outbreak of the outbreak becomes surfaced, set off waves ...

The third hypothesis: a very difficult "nuclear winter". The equivalent of the world economic crisis of 1929-1933, which triggered the Great Depression of more than a decade of the world economy, was not alleviated until the end of World War II in 1945. It's like a huge bomb, it explodes into the nuclear winter of human society.

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In 2020, the outbreak of xinguan pneumonia has hit the process of world economic integration, making the issue of de-globalization a hot topic again in the academic circles. Several scholars have warned that deglobalization could hurt the world economy, and that protectionism is not the "antidote" to economic downturns and volatility. The international community's inadequate emergency preparedness for the outbreak of new crown pneumonia and insufficient international cooperation reflect another potential reason for deglobalization, namely, that individual powers have abandoned the "rules of the game" that underpin globalization. The original purpose of these rules was to create an open trade and investment environment, a stable and peaceful development system. But the architects of globalization at the time, such as the US and UK, are now the saboteurs of global governance. If Britain's exit from the European Union is a serious mistake, then the United States' frequent obstruction of the Selection process for new judges of the World Trade Organisation's appeal body led to the agency's first "suspension" and the announcement of a suspension of funding for the World Health Organization when the new crown pneumonia outbreak did not subside.

Although the effectiveness of prevention and control varies from country to country, but in the deep development of globalization today, the trend of global epidemic development will be "short board" constraints and impact. In other words, countries cannot be left alone, and outbreaks pose a threat to all humanity as long as they exist.

On June 12, Ryan, head of the World Health Organization's health emergency program, said most of the world is still in the first wave of outbreaks, but because the spread of the disease has not been reduced to a low enough level and maintained, the increase in cases in some countries can symbolize a second wave of outbreaks or a second peak.

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In the face of the epidemic, or not too good countermeasures, although dangerous and painful, but we must strengthen their love. Stay away from viruses and protect life!