#probabilityUnmoderated tagAll postsTrending CommunitiesNewcomers' CommunitySteemitCryptoAcademySteemit Feedbackআমার বাংলা ব্লগKorea • 한국 • KR • KOSTEEM CN/中文Steem AllianceWORLD OF XPILARSteem POD TeamAVLE 일상Beauty of CreativityTron Fan ClubExplore Communities...#probabilityTrendingHotNewPayoutsMutedlupafilotaxia (75)in Project HOPE • 5 months agoPesticides and the high probability of death in humansCONTENT Today I wanted to address a highly controversial content, this because the topic I bring you is related to…bumblecat (78)in #us • 7 months agoRecession still unlikely.The probability we were in a recession in July was 1.96% (out of 100). This model uses the major coincident economic…bumblecat (78)in #nate • 8 months agoPolling favours Harris right now.Harris is now leading in Nate Silver's election forecast with a 50.5% chance to win the election fwiw. Harris has a…pomeline (79)in #nber • 8 months agoRecession probability.So I've often posted the NBER recession probability model using four major economic indicators. There's another…zafrada (78)in #economy • 10 months agoRecession probability.The probability we were in a recession in April was 0.9%. This model undergoes revision as more data becomes…pomeline (79)in #andrew • 11 months agoHuberman math!Lol this dude has 5 million followers on Instagram. It is 74% if you use correct independent probability btw. And if…zafrada (78)in #america • 11 months agoRecession probability remains low.The probability we were in a recession in March was 0.5%. This model undergoes revision as more data becomes…zafrada (78)in #fred • last yearRecession probability is up, but overall still very low.The probability we were in a recession in February was 1.48%. That's tied for the highest level in the last few years…zafrada (78)in #economy • last yearRecession probabilities remain low.The probability we were in a recession in November was only 0.82%. October's probability got revised down to 0.88%. So…pomeline (79)in #probability • last yeara subjectivist interpretation of probability.Logicism seems only to be widely recognized as objectivist exactly in the case of the objective Bayesians, who add an…zafrada (78)in #economy • last yearRecession probability.The probability we were in a recession in October was 2.22%. Highest point in recent months, though far below what…arbitration (78)in #numbers • 2 years agoThis isn't as good as the Monty Hall Paradox, but I learned a new one today.In a random list of digits, which of these sequences would you expect to find first, or are the odds equal? 12345 vs…rkeles (26)in #data • 2 years agoDiscover Probabilities with Up-to-Date Data: The Secret of Bayes' TheoremBayes' theorem is an important concept used in probability theory and statistics. It allows us to update the…pomeline (79)in #economy • 2 years agoProbability of recession.The probability we were in a recession in March was 0.7% according to the model that uses the coincident economic…kenji11 (57)in #earthquake • 2 years agoLately, there have been a lot of news and documentary programs about preparing for another major earthquake. | 最近は、また大地震についてのニュースやドキュメンタリーなどの番組がよくやっていますね。今日も大地震のニュースや番組が、やっていましたがこれは近々大地震が起こる可能性があるからだと思いますし日本は30年以内に大地震が起こる確率が、70％～80％と言われておりまた地震が連発する可能性もあると言われています。 Today…zafrada (78)in #economy • 2 years agoThe latest probability we are currently in a recession is 0.5% as of September.This model creates a probability we are in a recession using four monthly coincident economic indicators: non-farm…zafrada (78)in #economy • 2 years agoLatest recession probability is 1.2% as of August.Extremely low probability that we are currently in a recession. This model creates a probability we are in a…arbitration (78)in #math • 3 years agoWith the baseball season winding down, and "magic numbers" on the minds of many fans, my mind turns to ol' Pascal's Pinball Machine.That's how I explain it to my friends -- not that I teach math, but sometimes I get the chance to veer away from…muhammadadil (80)in #life • 3 years agoOptions With a High Probability of SuccessIf you're looking for options with a high probability of success, you've come to the right place. You'll find…flexbooth (78)in #conspiracy • 3 years agoConspiracy theories are a horrible way to spread liberty and advance a free society.For clarity, my position is not that no conspiracy theory has never been proven true nor admitted to, that's not an…
