RE: THE FLIPPENING - WE NEED TO DISCUSS...
It's an interesting time, isn't it? From what I see, the Flippening will happen sooner than later. We're closing in on ETH/BTC of 15% again. Once it reaches 17.7% ETH will be king of cryptocurrency for the time being.
To answer your questions, yes ETH surpassing Bitcoin would have a psychological effect on the market. Looking at nearly every article over the past year, those projecting years forward kept stating Bitcoin to have a majority percentage of the pie. Yet, that just may not be the case. This space moves so fast, it's mind boggling to realize that Bitcoin had 90%+ marketshare back in January. Coming back to the point, we may see some BTCers jumping ship temporarily and prices fluctuating to reflect this. But that's a very short term look at things.
The big issue is with the Fork and the price of BTC, and it's recent heaviness may be reflecting that, along with the general transaction issues we have all be facing recently. There is uncertainty, and investors hate uncertainty to this degree. If Bitcoin splits into two currencies (three by one account) or manages to stay the course as one is a bit too much stress for some to take. Until there is a clear path, I personally chose to liquidate a majority of my BTC position until August when a clearer direction is set. That doesn't mean anyone else should do the same, but I'm just not comfortable with where we are right now.
With that said, HODL isn't a terrible strategy in general. Everything in this space is a blip in time. Tons of upside left to go To the moon!
Hey there @gamervaeda, thanks for your thoughts! Where do you think the majority of BTC capital will flow in to? ETH, LTC, others or cash?
@Ozz
I imagine it'll be spread out a bit. The fact that BTC has dropped from representing nearly 90% of the overall market cap down to 40ish% now highlights the growth of the space in general. There are more places to legitimately invest in (at least speculatively). Right now we see LTC finally seeing it's run up, Zcash, Dash, and many others. So, I don't think a majority will go in one direction or the other, but it's smart to diversify at this stage since options do exist. Ultimately some will just pull out entirely, some will pull a portion out, others will diversify, and the last set will just keep their eyes closed because they want to simply HODL. No strategy is wrong based on the information we have right now.
Thanks for your insights. It is true that in this market where things are till looking for their true value it is very hard to come up with strategies bases solely on analysis. News, technology and gut feeling play a big role at this point and from that perspective. I am trying to go for intelligent diversification and trying to mentally step into the shoes of new money entering and BTC fears and what would I do in their shoes. I try to make sure that I am waiting in the right spots for the coming inflows. Also, gold and silver are a great investment at the moment! Nice point to buy in if you have not already.
@Ozz