The Crypto Telegram Group in Hong Kong – 3

If there is a person who can always give you a signal to gain more crypto, how nice would that be? What about the opposite? Does failed prognosticator exist? How accurate are they? 如果你能夠知道市場走向，世界有多美好。今次我會講一個有關燈神嘅傳說！

First, disclaimer: This is mean to be a story for fun, and for fun only. Yet, all I am going to say are facts.

這個故事雖然不是很認真，但所說的都是事實。

In the Crypto TG group, we have one member that can influence the market within a minute or two. To get a good idea, I prepared the following chart which happened a few hours ago.

在聊天群組中，我們有一位朋友能夠影響市場。我特地準備了數小時前的一個圖表與大家分享。

What Happended?

It was Litecoin becomes the victims. What happened in the chart was our dear group member talked about Litecoin at 9:51PM (21:51) "Just J (chase/buy) now, 249 (dollar) sell." At the time she spoke, Litecoin was rising, as illustrated.

正當 LTC 在上升的時候，她在 21:51 說叫大家買入 LTC。圖中的綠色對話盒指著當時的時間。

Immediately after she said so, the next 5 minus candle turned red – Litecoin dropped for 2.3% down to around 0.02308 BTC. The upward momentum stopped since then.

在下一個 5 分鐘，LTC 立即跌近 2.3%。上升之勢亦即時終止。

Litecoin continued to drop for 5 more candles, which was 25 mins, until she said at 10:17PM (22:17) "Cut loss when below 205". For an acceptable error of +/- $1, Litecoin hit a short-term bottom at around $205.99 and bounced, and the downward trended stopped for the next 4 candles, which was 20 mins.

LTC 之後跌了 5 個 5 分鐘，直至 22:17 她說要在 $205 之後止蝕。LTC便在下一個5分鐘在大約$205.99 止跌，並橫行了 20分鐘。

She was not right on her call

Yes, of course. She is a Failed Prognosticator, the legendary failed prognosticator!!

Failed Prognosticator, aka Lamp-God in Cantonese, is a person who predicts the markets wrong all the time. Treating her prediction as a signal, it means whatever opposite she said would become right.

這就是燈神吧！所預測的反方向都會成真！

Just J now, 249 sell

J, or Chase – also means buy in Cantonese. This means if you are holding LTC at that time, you should SELL.

J 在我們的圈子即是 「追」 。把 「追」 反向解就是 「賣出」 了。在這次示範中，最重要是「現在買入」，反向即是「立即賣出」。

Cut loss when below 205

This means you should not panic sell and continue to hold if you have LTC, or should even consider to BUY at around $205.

叫大家 $205 以下止蝕，就變成了 不要（這麼快）止蝕吧！

What? Just one incidence you have shown

Right, I only show you this recent incidence. In fact, some of us had set up a dedicated channel early January to track what she has said, and we come up to a conclusion she was 99% of time being wrong – correctly issued opposite signals.

雖然只是把最近一次成績拿出來跟大家分享，群組在一月開始特設了專用頻道，以統計成績。99%時間她也是錯的 - 即反向訊號準確率達99%！

The channel

To help her and keep her from being broke, the channel becomes a private channel that is only available to group members who donated a certain amount of crypto to this failed prognosticator.

為了幫補她的損失，最近頻道更成為捐助者專用頻道呢。

Can I join?

Maybe. Haha

是否很想加入？哈哈

Have fun.