Polling cross tabs exit polls.

Courtesy of Adam Carlson, how the polling cross tabs compared to exit polls. Huge caveat here that exit polls are often wrong, especially in recent years. So validated voter data might look different.

Obvious takeaways for now are:

Latino realignment was big and even larger than expected. I expected some realignment but certainly not this high.

Young voter realignment was real unfortunately. I was wrong here.

One bright spot was Black realignment wasn't as bad as expected. That one always looked dubious.

The gender gap grew by 7 points from 2020! Led by men shifting to Trump.