Take a look in the circle 🤔

in H4LAB Research5 months ago (edited)

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There have been 3 cycles so far, and now the 4th cycle has been progressing. Once all of the BTC(Bitcoin) halvings, it's been consolidating up to about 100 days so far.

Today, it's been around 60 days since the BTC 4th halving. If it follows the past patterns, the consolidation will last 1 month more in approximate. The patience is needed for crypto long-term investors.

Time goes by, the BTC price has shown that the increasing rates for the next ATH(All Time High)s have decreased. Additionally, the periods of the bullish markets have lengthened.

Once the BTC 1st halving, the increasing rate for the 1st ATH: 10,500% (Approximately)

Once the BTC 2nd halving, the increasing rate for the 2nd ATH: 2,950% (Approx.)

Once the BTC 3rd halving, the increasing rate for the 3rd ATH: 800% (Approx.)

It seems the relationship between 3 figures(10,500 / 2,950 / 800) has a general sequence

2,950 ÷ 10,000 ≈ 0.281
800 ÷ 2,950 ≈ 0.271

x ÷ 800 ≈ 0.261(Assumption)
x = 209(%)

Therefore, I assume that this cycle's BTC ATH would be $66,000 × 2.09 ≈ $137,940

Once the BTC 1st halving, the period until the 1st ATH: 330 days (Approximately)

Once the BTC 2nd halving, the period until the 2nd ATH: 530 days (Approx.)

Once the BTC 3rd halving, the period until the 3rd ATH: 550 days (Approx.)

So, I assume that this cycle would be lasting more than previous cycles. It's likely to end in Sep 2025.

I just assumed these based on the past data. I think the real data could be much different. Please, use them only as a reference.

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DYOR(Do Your Own Research)!

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Insightful analysis on Bitcoin halving price trajectories. While your projected $137,940 ATH and September 25th cycle end date seem plausible based on historical patterns, crypto markets remain highly unpredictable. Recent regulatory crackdowns and institutional adoption could significantly impact future price movements. Patience is key for long-term crypto investors. Engaging data-driven discussion! Follow and upvote for more quality content.