When will the next recession be?

The interest difference of US bonds (10y - 3m) is now minus. There were many recessions after occuring the yield spread inversion. It takes time some months up to 2 years.

COVID-19 is the 1st recession that crypto market had. Because, Bitcoin(BTC) was born after the 2008 financial crisis. Well, it seems the recessions regularly repeat 11~12 years in average. So, I think the next recession could be a weak recession, or we will avoid or delay the recession afterwards.

Let's go back to Q1 2020. Most assets such as stocks and cryptocurrencies collapsed due to COVID-19, which means crypto would be difficult to avoid the collapse in the next recession.

So, you need to study and learn this case to hedge it. It's been 8 months after the inversion. When it comes to the quant investment, the next recession would occur the beginning of the next year. If it happens before the 4th BTC halving, BTC and altcoins will be difficult to avoid the collapse. So, to hedge the situation, you need to diversify your portfolio after pumping cryptos. It will make you prepare the next recession.