The Unpredictable Nature of Crypto Investing, Understanding 'Fat Tails'

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I just finished reading an article on Coindesk about "fat tails" and "revolutionary eras" and what they represent for digital assets. Let me explain it to you in simple terms because it's quite interesting material.

In essence, "fat tails" refers to the notion that extreme occurrences (such as sharp price fluctuations in cryptocurrencies) are more likely to occur than we realize. In other words, our predictions of the future are not always accurate based on the probabilities we employ. This might benefit or hurt cryptocurrency investors. On the one hand, it suggests that if you invest at the appropriate time, there is a chance for significant rewards. But, it also means that there is a chance of suffering significant losses if events don't turn out as planned.

The piece also discusses "revolutionary ages," which are times when significant technical developments radically alter how we live and conduct business. One of these eras is currently upon us as digital assets (like Bitcoin and Ethereum) upend traditional banking and present new opportunities to people everywhere.

What do these ideas signify in terms of digital assets, then? It's difficult to say for sure, although there are certain considerations.

First and foremost, the concept of fat tails implies that cryptocurrency investors must be ready for the unexpected. Since it's difficult to foresee the future with absolute certainty, you should always have a fallback strategy in place. This could entail diversifying your holdings, placing stop-loss orders, or simply exercising patience while waiting for the ideal opportunities to arise.

Second, given the revolutionary times we live in, digital assets are probably going to keep becoming more and more popular and significant. Demand is projected to rise as more individuals become aware of the advantages of cryptocurrencies (such as their low fees and decentralized nature). This could result in more volatility when the market moves in response to these changes.

Without a doubt, the world of digital assets is one that is vibrant and rich in opportunity. Yet it's crucial to keep in mind that it's also a very unpredictable and constantly shifting environment. You can put yourself up for success in this fascinating new world by maintaining your knowledge, being ready for the unexpected, and approaching investment with a long-term attitude.

ref; https://www.coindesk.com/business/2023/02/16/what-fat-tails-and-revolutionary-ages-mean-for-digital-assets/