[Steem talk] Understanding Crypto Trading - Episode 7
Back to another episode of crypto trading. Let's pickup from where we stopped, bias is bad. We're all human, and human got emotion problem. Like it or not, when you stick to one blockchain, that one coin is going to be the best coin for you and you tend to look at it all day and pray for it to go "UP" in value. But again, up against what?! And everybody fall for the dollar game again.
Bias STEEM
Here's the deal, when the STEEM/SBD ratio stays below 1, any transaction below this are to be seen BIAS STEEM. That's because I only need to spend a small amount of SBD to obtain a bigger amount of STEEM. But don't forget, I also have orders on the SELL side, I don't always buy STEEM with SBD, I also park my STEEM to get ready to obtain SBD when the ratio started to normalize.
Bias SBD
This is the part that not many would understand why. Are you here when SBD was $15 several years back? Do you remember your $10 post payout, how many SP you're getting back? This is exactly that kind of situation. You'll be saying Dave you're crazy selling your precious STEEM for SBD. This is nuts. It's already very hard to obtain, and I'm selling it for SBD?! Wait a minute, aren't we talking about the same stuff when the ratio was below 1? And now over 1 you think I'm crazy.
The evil ratio
Here is the evil ratio you can see. What actually drove the market is not important, it's how much you have in hand at the point of time. If you fail to change the number of hodling you have in hand, which means you're defeated by the evil DOLLAR. This table I have included the dollar value combination on the right. At the present situation, SBD is around 0.94 and STEEM is around 0.15. Both representing in USD. Correct me if I'm wrong? Let's consult @coingecko
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https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/steem
Not quite where were expecting it would be, it's hovering around 0.175 ratio, because STEEM value is around 0.15. When STEEM value continue to fall faster then SBD, it will sure hit 0.15 ratio soon.
Exorcism method
Was it confusing? When you look at the dollar value, there's so many combination worth studying! It can go up, it can go down. It can go left, it can go right. With the same 0.200 ratio, there's is thousands of combination can happen. The dollar evil are changing their parameter to trick the ratio move, and we're the idiots who keep on getting blood suck and didn't see them coming. So, what's the best thing we can do? Chase the devil out of the house. Stop looking at the dollar value. Increase your capacity in hodling either one of them. Regardless of price going up or down, we take advantage of the exchange. Form a grid by placing same amount of orders buy all the way down. Placing same amount of order selling all the way up. You'll be saying, BUT BUT BUT Dave, when we selling our STEEM for SBD, wasn't it stupid to own so little? Well, as the chart highlighted, if the grow is organic and accountable, by the time STEEM worth 0.315, SBD would worth way above $1(which is not covered in my spreadsheet). The debts would have cleared and your post payout would have been fully paid with SBD already. So, what do you worry for? Hold on to your principal, don't fight with the market. Let the market lead the way, and we rip the fruits.
The spreadsheet I created is simple, I wanted to upload the file, but thinking of the vulnerability of spreadsheet sharing and online hosting could be a problem. Drop me a line if you couldn't make your own spreadsheet.
Previous Episodes
Part 6 here
Part 5 here
Part 4 here
Part 3 here
Part 2 here
Part 1 here
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Hi~ 金鱼佬!
@steemscanbot has gifted you 1 SHOP!
Currently you have: 132 SHOP
View or Exchange
Are you bored? Play Rock,Paper,Scissors game with me!SHOP
Please go to steem-engine.com.In my case, I trade within the same internal market, for now only with steem, because it is what I have come from a short time ago and the calculation I get to exchange the tokens is simple: I always see the relationship between both tokens and I always try to change when I see that I have some profit.
I don't know if it will be the correct way, but what I do know is that with each change, the steem count increases. Just today, I have started playing in the market and I have changed 3,262 SDB for 20,518 Steem, giving a ratio of 6,291 steem for each SBD. When I see that I can get back the SBD I had, paying less steem, I will execute the operation.
Thank you for reply. This series is talking about, I don't see when is the right time. I don't always put everything in one basket. If I have 3,262 I will change 1,000 at 0.15 another 1,000 at 0.10 and 1,000 at 0.05. They may never get change at all honestly, but what I wanted is the best deal out of every situation.
Just like what you meantioned, if each SBD is 6,291 is too expensive. We will never know when is the best time, so I will also start parking all my steems on the sell side, 10 steems to sell for 2SBD, 10 steems to sell for 2,5SBD.
I actually traded 3,262 SBD for 20,518 Steem. It only remains to wait for Steem to acquire more value to buy SBD again and have a benefit in steem. I have already read the previous article, and I will continue until I reach the first one.
Appreciate your kind comment. Keep it up and I hope will be able to see you benefit from it.
Hello @davidke20
I entered the world of cryptomonies because I am interested in trading, no doubt it is an art, but in the end I gave up, it didn't go very well he he
But I lacked preparation. You make a good explanation here, thank you for sharing it.
Well, this is the way to KISS - Keep It Simple Stupid. Don't look at the dollar sign, just keep on growing the NUMBERS. Thank you for your comment. Lemme give you a follow.
Increasing the numbers, that's what we'd call the "trick". Thank you
I think one of the cause for this has to do with the state of the crypto market because there are times whereby SBD may have more value than steem and there are times whereby steem maybe more valuable than SBD and there are also times whereby both SBD and steem may attain the same value or price depending on the nature of the crypto market.
Hmm... I never thought about this great idea and I think I will have to start applying this with my steem and SBD tokens.
Thanks for sharing this great post with love from @hardaeborla in courtesy of @crypto.piotr 💕❤️💕❤️💕
Don't think, drink
Market is already there. Join the fun. In the end, if none of the trade being trigger, there's a good chance both STEEM and SBD gaining value the same time, or both of them losing at the same rate.
Yeah.. That's the fact 😊
Thanks for your lovely reply
Interesting enough for me to read, continue your adventurer, friend.
Sure. Thanks for stopping by.
你那里天气如何?快来使用超级好用的steemit客户端---Partiko,这个可是我们华人团队开发的哦。倘若你想让我隐形,请回复“取消”。