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RE: The Future Of Mass Population Distribution Shifts
I think Elon Musk is right. Instead of looking at the % increase in population (which is often down to improved healthcare), look at the birthrate. It is down sharply, even in Africa, and as countries get richer their birthrate drops.
It's true that last year China's population increased by 7 million last year, but what the top-line figures hid was that their pensioner population increased by 10 million, but their working age population decreased by 3 million. At some point the "hump" of old people who were born in the high birthrate 1950's and 60's will pass away, and you'll get a sudden drop as younger generations are smaller cohorts. This is happening already in Japan.
Well see, you make good points, but if we look at countries that are undeveloped with average life spans of 40, when they become developed, in my opinion their population is going to catch up to countries that are now already mid/highly developed. Africa and the Middle East are the areas I mostly think are going to have massive population booms.