Australian Federal Election 2019 Week 5 ~ Faites Vos Jeux

These are the betting odds for each party as collected by OddsChecker:
Note: The only party with a candidate in each seat is the United Australia Party.
Fellow blogger buggedout suggests "I also follow the betting odds on political outcomes and I find that Betfair (the betting exchange) is often the best guide."
Always gamble responsibly.

Party/Bookmaker	Bet365	Bet(easy)	Sportsbet	TAB
Labor	1.33	1.33	1.33	1.28
Coalition	3.30	3.30	3.30	3.30
One Nation			251.00	151.00
Australian Conservatives			251.00	101.00
United Australia Party			301.00
Greens		501.00	201.00	201.00
Everybody else			501.00

The last seven days have had the end of Easter and ANZAC day to slow down the speech-making, but it soon got back into high gear.

A number of candidates have been dropped by their parties for making politically incorrect comments that have been seized upon by the media. Its a bit late to change the candidates now that all the paperwork is done and dusted. Political correctness is making all the leaders walk on eggshells.

Morrison (Coalition) spent most of his time re-iterating his budget proposals and trying to keep his foot out of his mouth. He went down well in coal mining areas in Queensland.
Shorten (Labor) is concentrating on childcare, healthcare, cancer, age pension dental and electric cars. Its just as well Bill doesn't drive to Canberra from home, his electric car wouldn't make it. As an aside, adds on TV for electric cars have increased lately.

Adds by the major parties and the unions are negative and lack imagination giving the impression to the general public that the two parties are too tired to try. Clive Palmer (UAP) doesn't have to point out the inadequacies of the major parties as they do it for him and he can and does concentrate on positive hard hitting adds.

Media political commentators have just realised that Clive Palmer is getting supporters, at least one editor was open mouthed with shock, I saw it with my own eyes.

Monday was the start of early polling and also the first live leaders debate. The Press Club had its nose put out of joint because its venue was not chosen for the debate. Since all the free-to-air TV channels lean towards the left one can expect some favouritism by the adjudicator and the hand-picked audience. Opinion has it that neither leader fired up the audience.

An extremely far left lobby group had to withdraw an election campaign add because it was politically incorrect and caused hurt and dismay to the Royal Surf Life Saving Association. Bill Shorten (Labor) said that the add was "grossly disrespectful and stupid" amongst other criticisms. Obviously Bill does not like support from precocious juvenile delinquents.

In an equal and opposite reaction the Coalition have formed their own lobby group that hopefully they can rely upon to do the right thing.

The Coalition is under fire for approving a uranium mine in West Australia and a coal mine in Queensland just before the election was called. Logically the environmental impact is marginal but who uses logic when protesting or voting?

Pauline Hanson (One Nation) is having a hard time lately, with one of her contenders resigning after a video of him having a hands-on experience with an exotic dancer was released. Hanson is having difficulty coping with the (unfair) onslaught by Palmer.

With the predicted primary vote favouring the Coalition it is essential that Labor is bolsterd by distributed preferernces. Currently there is no formal Labor coalition, but this may change after the results of this election. The UAP claims that both major parties made enquiries about preferences, but neither party wants to be publically associated with the UAP.

Thanks for reading such a dull subject.

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