Steem - An Honest Look Inside

in #steem6 years ago (edited)

You might have already noticed it yourself: people on Steem are becoming more and more worried, frustrated and impatient. Bitcoin has nearly touched the 6k USD already, while STEEM achieved a new all-time-low of ~5500 Satoshis.

Now, I do believe that all these emotions I've just listed are completely normal; they are simply are part of human nature. And they are the opposite of what you might have felt when Steem broke the 7$ mark last year - when euphoria about Steem made us feel like we're in heaven and the 100$ mark was just around the corner.

But even if you weren't around at that time, I'm sure you were there when Steem was above 1$. And while ~33 cents is still higher than the previous low of ~20 cents this year, the satoshi valuation has dropped heavily.

Before you might think I want to create fear or anxiety, be assured: I'm simply truthfully highlighting what's already obvious and what I'm observing about my own emotions (fear, anxiety, frustration, inpatients), which - as I said before - are completely normal. However, it's in our hand how we deal with them.



Are we going to allow them to control us? Or are we in control, while still acknowledging their existence - and even seeing them as value-bringing information.

Look, Steem is not in perfect shape - some important milestones (SMTs & communities) are still not yet finished. However, Steem has never been more advanced and the ecosystem has never been more diversely used.

In my opinion, the main reason that Steem seemingly has been more "popular" in the past, was because due to it's freshness, the hype generated around it and, most importantly, the message people received about coming to Steem and earning real money - somewhat easy. Everyone loves free money, right? Well, I do. But I do think this is what essentially brought us into this position.

People came flocking to Steem (or Steemit.com essentially) with the expectation to earn money. And what they saw were these things: $18,000 USD for a poorly written post or $31,000 USD for an amateurish makeup tutorial.

I know that these prices were happening due to the very early Steem pump and the not yet big community around it; meaning a big pot for very few users to share - and of course, those high payouts were somewhat rare.

But regardless - do you believe the early growth has been organic and healthy? It was def. very smartly orchestrated (as pretty much everything from the very beginning of Steem), but organic growth it was not.

Instead, it gave people a somewhat inflated and entitled sense of what Steem is supposed to be: a cash-cow. Which is what we're still seeing somewhat today. Reducing author rewards to 50% and increasing curation rewards to 50%? No! I'm the author and I DESERVE it.

And what about those incentives for people to actually have Steempower in this system?


Before I get too deep into the rabbit hole, let me end it with this:

Steem has never been more technologically advanced than it's currently is. Could it be more and better? Of course, everything could be better. Even bitcoin. But we can only work with what we have; and especially with what we have been given.

And if we don't have the feeling that the current system is working out, then let's be bold and change it. We've been waiting and waiting with promises in our heads, for far too long. Opting for a new project is valid reasoning (as we've seen with EOS), but as a developer, let me tell you that fixing an already existing project is possible as well.

I really hope that the proposal system is going to be integrated into a production-ready steemd version soon, so we're able to see if it works and finally get some stuff done by giving community developers a more secure & stable system to rely on. (by the way, I still believe the inflation pool should be at least partially used)

With that said:

Keep your heads up!

Wolf


Do you believe that my work is valuable for Steem? Then please vote for me as witness.

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Excellent post, most new websites are built with some early hype!

Yes, I think everyone from Stakeholders to end-users needs to reevaluate expectations and entitlement in a market that recently lost 90 percent when that happens everyone loses. End-Users, Witnesses, Stakeholders, and actual investors are hit in any market that takes a huge fall.

I agree there are good things coming and I also hope we can fund the Worker Proposal System sometimes referred to as the DAO with the inflation pool. I think that is what the inflation pool should be used for... Growth development and distribution.

Great post! Thanks for reaching out to the community! We need all the leadership we can get.

The biggest reasons we are dropping is the high inflation rate (relative to other projects) combined with the programmatic selling by steemit,inc. Until they stop selling so aggressively, we likely keep going down. It was fine when we had tons of demand, but those days are long gone. They need to fund operations with money from advertisements etc or steem and steemit are doomed.

I think inflation is the highest mistake. With SBD being the cause of it..

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Well, if sbd weren't being paid out, it would be steem. The inflation rate includes the SBD emissions. Though if all payouts were in SP i guess that may slow the selling slightly...

We need an overall reduction in inflation as well as steemit,inc selling. Them stopping selling might be enough to slow things down but I have no idea what their finances look like.

Ideally they fund everything from revenue from steemit.com... if at all possible.

When prices where high there were a lot of SBD printed. Then the prices went down really fast and all that SBD was printed in Steem causing the inflation to be much higher than the expected 9%.
I still think that SBD is the problem when prices come to a high level to a down level.

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I'm super bullish on Steem right now. Our up and down movements seem to come at opposite times of the larger market lately. If this keeps happening it will be really easy to make smart trades.


Curation should be eliminated entirely. Not because Authors deserve more, but because it's totally broken and easily gamed.

Curation makes absolutely no sense. It isn't large payouts that curate content. Every frontend of Steem has full power of what content gets displayed. Hooking curation into the consensus layer of the platform and forcing it on everyone is a huge mistake.


Regardless, I'm super bullish on Steem, and so will everyone else when the next crypto mania comes around and Bitcoin transactions spike up to $50 a pop. Trickle-down theory is a model that actually works in an open source economy.

Removing curation would break the whole system. If you want a system without curation, I would start out with a new project, instead of removing one of the main pillars of this one.

I don't see how curation brings anything to the table. Like the entire tipping model, it relies on altruism. No curator is going to upvote a post that's already been upvoted, without altruism. Why are we kicking back money to the biggest stake holders when the system relies on them giving away short-term gains?

Forced curation only makes sense in a blind bidding system where that critical payout information is hidden from the curators (impossible?). Otherwise they can just game the system, but why try to game a broken lottery when you can just self-upvote? So why have curation at all?

The real suggestion in my post about it is to make curation optional on a sliding scale. Apply optional curation to posts AND resteems (referral link) to be determined by the content creator. That way any percentage could be selected by the person who actually owns the content.

It's hard to take you seriously when you just give a vague generic answer saying "Nope, that would just break everything." It wouldn't. Both systems rely on stake holders giving money away, plain and simple.

Not much is going to change either way, so the smartest thing to do is nothing, because showing the outside world that Steem is willing to drastically reallocate inflation on the whim of a few dozen people is like the worst idea ever.

I do appreciate your time in hearing me out, even if we don't see eye to eye. Thanks.

Give people free downvotes and they will use them.

Current curation is bringing more pro than cons though

Give people free downvotes and they will use them.

True. Downvotes might have worked in the early days of Steem, while the community was small enough and filled with people having the same mindset/ideology, but it doesn't work anymore. Upvotes have a direct economic response - downvotes don't. So having downvotes costing the same as upvotes, but giving nothing in return, doesn't work.

I like that take a lot.

Indeed, I was so worried and busy finding arguments against the 50% curation rewards that I missed this fresh view: why is curation in the consensus layer at all ???

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Everyone can see that high payout doesn't mean better content.

It's a little harder to see that high payout doesn't even mean high visibility.

Steemit makes it a bit more obvious by pushing those "featured" posts down our throats in the feed. If you use Steemit.com, Steemit Inc is controlling everything you see.

people should be rewarded for creating content, not for bullying and chasing people away. Getting rid of curation would remove the incentive for downvoting, because it would no longer hurt the author. And people would continue creating content in stead of running away.

Steem has too many sellers and not many reasons to attract buyers. The biggest seller being steemit. This continues to drive down the price. As the price drops investors are harder to attract and it gets into a negative spiral.

We see this play out as steem is almost falling outside the top 60 on coinmarketcap.

That's partly because new crypto projects keep cropping up all the time. People tend to have short memories. We are still over 50% up from the December bottom of about 20 cents. Bitcoin has gone up by about the same percentage since then.

I agree new entrants is another factor. But it can't be the only reason as other projects have managed to hold onto their market positions better

Some have, some haven't. It's mostly random noise. The day-to-day or even month-to-month fluctuations in the market caps of crypto projects are almost entirely meaningless. There is little to no information in the price action. Investors, or rather speculators, are like flocks of birds or schools of fish, mindlessly and chaotically chasing after whatever profits they think they can get.

STEEM is at about 31 cents right now. Does that mean Steem is now almost 50% less valuable than it was about a month ago? Of course not. Don't pay attention to short term price fluctuations. It's just flies buzzing. There is no information in it.

I agree short term market gyrations are not a true indicator of value, but how long is long term? Steem has fallen from top 20 all the way down to number 60.

I am not saying this means steem should be abandoned and it's dead. But I think it's fair to ask the question of its below market performance.

I think the poor long-term market performance of STEEM relative to BTC is because Steemit Inc overpromised and underdelivered for a couple of long years. It was terrible.

Steem is a project of many contradictions. It's got the most users and the most traffic. But its public image is very poor owing to how it got started and how many of the early 2016'ers were totally spoiled by the massive rewards. When they rage quit as their rewards naturally plummeted after the totally unsustainable once-in-a-lifetime type of lucky strike of a start, these spoiled children went on to badmouth Steem everywhere in the cryptosphere.

I think we saw STEEM bottoming out last Christmas, and if it's any consolation, the last bottom was a higher low than the one prior to that which was 7 cents in March 2017. At last, we have MIRA. We already have Steem-Engine powered tokens but Steemit Inc will now get to work making SMTs a reality at last. With MIRA and SMTs in place, development will be more app centric and the troubled early stages of Steem will hopefully be a distant memory fading away.

We're only higher from a USD point-of-view, because BTC is at ~6000 USD, instead of ~3200 USD. When comparing Steem to BTC, we've lost a lot of value.

Yeah, it's true that BTC has gained relatively more since the December lows. However, it would've been a different story a month ago when STEEM was about 52 cents and BTC was about 5200 USD. There is very little useful information to short term price action.

Yes BUT perspective..

I share this with you because I am grateful for your contribution to the community. It is important.

Alts are showing high volume but near the lows of this cycle which is also its longest bear market period, 479 days. Looks like in past cycles it was also always darkest before the turn. What do you see?

I added the bitcoin halving periods to the chart above which only goes back to 2013 meaning only the 2016 halving is able to be included. The 2012 falls several months short. It took about six months after the 2016 halving for alts to start their bull run.

Alts should have their time right around that time period which is about 6 months after the halving. Steem should be appreciating in satoshi valuation around this time.

Makes sense. The price of Bitcoin brings many new people into the space. They think bitcoin is too expensive and start speculating on alts.

Steem has too many sellers and not many reasons to attract buyers.

Correct! And not enough reasons for people to keep their Steem on this platform, instead of selling it. It's all about incentives.

Exactly. We need more reasons for people to power up, perhaps creating more utility and benefits for holding SP. eg. Holding SP gives you airdrops, access to features/services on Steem, especially when SMTs and Communities come out, and maybe other perks.

We need RC delegation markets. That will enable new users to get the resources they need to utilize the site while SP holders can access the value of their resource.

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I look at work done as having merit. "Proof Of Work" of a non-encrypted format done by humans, not computers. So yeah, why not 25/75 75/25, or 100/0 cur/auth split?

What does work matter at all, why not just give all the Steem based on who has Steem Power?

If the authors/commenters don't "deserve" 75% for doing most of the work on the site, why not just give even more to those with the SP, which is the argument here for giving more to curating because "we want people to invest".

That seems like more of a "cash cow" model than rewarding authors/commenters who do the most work on the site with more than curators who do less work. Proof of work through proof of brain (for the most part..)

Why does anyone need to post anything, just distribute the token based on who has the token. That must be an investor dream, right? Just full passive income. WO0ot! But... what would the site be without those doing work to post and comment? What would STEEM be valued at then... I wonder...

Work done matters. Invest in any crypto and you don't get any returns for simply investing other that hoping the price goes up. The work of posting posts and comments is the way mining work is done on Steem. Curation is a part of that work done, but not nearly equal.

Voting/curating is too much work to get 25% potential rewards it seems. We need 50% to make the work of clicking a mouse or autbot voting worth it? Otherwise, that's why Steem doesn't have people buying it? We need to give more to easy or no work passive income! Again, why not distribute the token based on SP and see how "good" that is for Steem.

Also, I thought "bid bots" and selling votes was "good" for Steem. What happened to that? It was just a pipe dream people were selling to justify vote selling and make money doing nothing. Passive income for the win! Talk about a cash cow lol! I see 50/50 going the same route. Are we winning? Is Steem winning with bid bots and vote selling/buying? Seems that didn't work out as promised, now did it?

There are many, many more people active on Reddit than there ever were on Steem(it). And none of them are earning even a fraction of what people earn(ed) on Steem. Which means, Steem could even go as low as 99% curation and 1% authors and Steemians would still make more than redditors. Heck, even just a little bit is more than nothing.

So, I think the problem isn't about authors not earning enough on Steem, but rather people not having an incentive to buy Steem and staking it, instead of just selling what they've just earned by the generosity of people already staked in the system. I mean, just looking at your author reward history, it seems you were quite successful and sold a big chunk of it already. Good for you!

Now, I do think the visibility of content on Steemit is bad; ever since I've joined - which is why bid-bots were introduced initially, so people could influence their own visibility. But well, who knew that some humans just wanted to abuse it and put bid-bots into a bad spotlight.

On reddit no one earns on written content but nobody speculates on content written by others. I understand that for bots to offer a 75% curation would be a great deal: making money without doing anything is everyone's dream.

Exactly, earning by doing nothing, just having real money staked in a system, which takes 13 weeks to get out. ;)

"who knew"

Many warned about this when bid-bots were first introduced to the ecosystem and ever since there have been people vocal about the negative effect they're having on our community. We're now reaping that sow and sinking when many cryptos are climbing aggressively. Now the biggest reasons to hold SP is to draw wealth out of the system with it + to have something to delegate to other projects in exchange for tokens.

The most negative sign is that now would be good time to buy Steem, if you only look at the charts and technical analysis, but as a active Steem user, I'm still hesitant and afraid even, and I wish I wouldn't have to be...

Indeed, so bring curation rewards higher because more easy money for autovoting or vote selling, and those doing the real work to populate the site and chain with substance (or fluff in many cases) get less. Making an argument about reddit and saying authors could get 1%, or 0.01% of rewards, and they still would make more than reddit, is irrelevant as to why curators should get more and ignores the work being done. Reddit isn't a place for authors to begin with. It's an invalid argument and comparrison to make. Plus, it shows how little your value the work of authors, since 1% for authors is still more than redditors, as if that's just fine... lol.

I did take out a lot of STEEM. You know why? Because I was being flagged on nearly all my posts for months, with 75%-90%, sometimes 100% of rewards removed. That's why. Who would want to stay in a place where they are being treated like that? I didn't want to. Eventually the flagging stopped after 6 months of my leaving, so I came back. I also sold a bunch cheap when Dan left ($0.10), so I lost but others gained. I would have kept it all in Steem Power if the platform operated better or had ways to counter such abuses of power.

Anyone is allowed to sell their tokens. Anyone can powerdown. The shaming of powering down is really lame. You admonish those who sell because they aren't staking it. For someone to buy, soemone has to sell. You're only looking at trying to get STEEM to go up in value by creating scarcity from people not selling, by getting peope to power it up to get more curation rewards, and giving t hem more curation rewards relaative to authors who do the work of putting content on the site.

What's the point of having a token if selling it is looked on as a "bad" thing? LOL. It's meant to be used and sold. What's the point of money if it's all about hoarding it and not using it? That's how you cripple and sink a currency and an economy. You're plan for STEEM's economy sucks if you expect everyone to power it up and keep it there.

which is why bid-bots were introduced initially, so people could influence their own visibility. But well, who knew that some humans just wanted to abuse it and put bid-bots into a bad spotlight.

They've been used for the purpose of increasing rewards on a post since they began. It was about buying votes and buying rewards. I'll give you $5, you give me $5.50 (or whatever amount) back because you sell your vote instead of simply voting on content like things were done originally. That's the whole design of bid bots from the start. It was never started to promote visibility. That is only a side effect that occurs as a result of buying a lot of votes that few have as a primary reason to buy votes in the first place. Getting a $10-50 post from vote buying doen't get you anywhere significant in "visiblity". It's always been about buying votes to get more rewards. Keep telling yourself "bidbots are for visiblity, it helps the community and platform" if that comforts you, but bid bots have always been a blight on Steem and visiblity was never the reason they were created or used by people. It was always about getting more rewards by buying votes, not earnin them.

Few buy votes simply for visiblity (probably no one). Want to test that out? Allow a bidbot to take vote buying and then give the author no rewards for the upvote, like only for declined payout posts or something. Then see how many people you will get to buy votes. Not that many, because it's all about rewards first for the majority, and visibility is secondary, an after thought because of how the main front end site is constructed to show the Trending page by default which is based on the $ value of posts. Change that default sorting mechanism, and you change how "visibility" works. Would people stop using bidbots then? No. because the main reason has always been about getting rewards, not visibility.

There was already a place for peopel to pay to promote their posts, it's the Promoted section. If the main Steemit page was Promoted, I wonder if you would see less people use bidbots for the Trending page. Probably not that many, and things would go on the same way.

There ain't no such thing as free money :-)

Great post! It's all about the expectation management.

I feel lost with the steemit world since I just gotten myself into this (more seriously, lately) and according to old (2018) articles things are not getting better with this app so people are moving on but then there are also some who says it can get better if only the app will be improved (not sure if that is backend or frontend wise) and there is still hope since crypto can change value over time

idk im rambling lol but i think I'll stay here for a while

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The problem is, I believe, that the momentum to tip just doesn't seem to come for STEEM. Content creators are being censored and deplatformed and it's projects like Minds and Gab that I keep on hearing about as a solution.

Can we have someone promoting STEEM on Joe Rogan or another comparable show explaining where STEEM fits in as a solution?

Personally I feel like this is a very limited scope of what the Steem platform can actually do, but I think everyone can agree that we could use better marketing.

I certainly agree.

But given the zeitgeist is what it is, I'd say STEEM should have a voice in this debate.

I did like this message coming from @andrarchy. Let's have him have a talk with Rogan.

We can market the other features too, of course.

There is basically NO marketing to speak of ... as Wolf observed, among the reasons for the initial Steem pump in 2016 was the hype. In a competitive world you need to generate hype at a similar or higher level than other projects - that's the job of a marketing Dept. And this is not done competently enough on Steem

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Steem is still censorship resistant, however, the frontends are another topic. Minds and gab are also "just" websites and I honestly don't believe they will stay censorship-resistant forever. There usually always comes a time, where you have to take a stance (either based on ethics or laws), which in the eyes of the outside looks like censorship.

Exactly. Minds and Gab are centralized. When push comes to shove, they will easily be forced to censor. However, with MIRA making Steem nodes cheap to run, there is no way whatsoever for any authority to do anything about content on Steem.

To use price as a basis to reflect what is taking place is a poor idea. Prices might or might not be reflective of what is going on. In fact, after the announcement of MIRA, the price went down since them. If market action was reflective, the good news would trigger a run. It did not.

Of all the blockchains in front of Steem, how many have a business that is bringing in over $400K a month without being an exchange or gambling? Steemhunt has posted on their Reviewhunt site that they have commits on over $400K monthly from 42 businesses.

That is real world money from real world marketing budgets.

The early stages of technology is wrought with people looking the wrong way.

Curation is just for whales, 50/50 is painful for authors.

50/50 is very arbitrary number too

Why not go milder like 30/70 or 40/60? Why not go wilder like 60/40 or even 25/75?
In my opinion just let author dictate how much curation reward they are willing to give on each post. If an author believe higher curation will be beneficial they can set it to any number higher than 25/75 and vice versa if it's allowed.

Sure, it could also be 75% curation and 25% author. Authors could even set it themselves, even though it could become confusing for people to understand. I personally think 50/50 is a good number, because it's fairer than anything else.

Because human dont vote after more or less 15 min all day long.

I would argue the curation curve should not even start until after 24 hours after the initial post time. Give everyone a legit chance to read it or know that it was even published and have 2 curation windows, the 25hr-72hr window, then immediately start back up again at 72hr+ to 144hr then it stops at the start of day 7, that is for the curation window of the post. That way if you miss a vote on post you can still hit another sweet spot of curation later on to encourage possibly more voting on a really good post that may take 4-5 days to get to you.

That's why they advocate it.

I would argue that 50/50 is bad for everyone as it devalues the platform in the long run and shows that the people in charge of Steem are willing to make drastic changes to how inflation is distributed without community consensus.

People should want to be whales. Giving people an incentive to sell their stake and power-it down is what will bring downfall to this platform if not fixed accordingly.

Yep. I really think it should be up to each author to decide how much they want to give to curators. 50/50 could be the default in order to avoid confusion and it could be left to each front end to decide what kind of tools they want to make available for users to set their curation percentage.

I actually try to avoid voting my own posts usually because they curate less because I prefer to not front run my friends' votes on my own post, and I can curate much more voting on other posts that way giving someone a reason to not vote only their own posts all of the time.

Thank you @markkujantunen. At least the price of steem hasn't fallen to this level yet on the coinmarketcap rankings. And yes that is the most inventive ticker symbol in the history of any exchange, lol.