#pollingUnmoderated tagAll postsTrending CommunitiesNewcomers' CommunitySteemitCryptoAcademySteemit Feedbackআমার বাংলা ব্লগKorea • 한국 • KR • KOSteem AllianceSTEEM CN/中文WORLD OF XPILARSteem POD TeamAVLE 일상Beauty of CreativityComunidad LatinaExplore Communities...#pollingTrendingHotNewPayoutsMutedbuzweaveryoutube (59)in #democrats • 14 days agoDemocrats Suffer Their Worst Approval In Nearly 50 Years Get Woke Go BrokeDemocrats made the mistake of taking directions from celebrities and niche interest groups. To seem popular and…pomeline (79)in #polling • 4 months agoTake this poll with a huge grain of salt.I've never heard of the Center for Strategic Politics before and they used the opt-in online pollster Pollfish. I'd…bumblecat (78)in #post • 4 months agoAnother new Navigator post mortem election poll.Trump far and away ahead of Harris on the top 3 issues to voters: inflation, immigration, and the economy. Inflation…zafrada (78)in #ukraine • 5 months agoNew Gallup polling of Ukrainians.Zelensky's approval among Ukrainians is now at 60% in new Gallup polling. Honestly considering Ukrainian society…zafrada (78)in #ukraine • 5 months agoCoverage of the Gallup poll on Ukrainians has been pretty lousy.According to Gallup's own poll, only 27% of Ukrainians are open to territorial concessions to end the war. This…pomeline (79)in #polling • 5 months agoConsumer sentiment has a huge partisan bias component based on who is in the White House.Fun thing with a high frequency online pollster like Morning Consult is you can see this flip literally occur because…bumblecat (78)in #election • 5 months agoPolling cross tabs exit polls.Courtesy of Adam Carlson, how the polling cross tabs compared to exit polls. Huge caveat here that exit polls are…bumblecat (78)in #nate • 5 months agoHere's what a uniform normal polling error would look like for either candidate according to Nate Silver's current polling averages.So yeah, we could very well see a 7 battleground state sweep by either candidate. Typically polling error is…pomeline (79)in #marist • 5 months agoFinal Marist national poll.I think that's about it for high quality polls. Harris up 4 points among likely voters. 51% vote share. That 47% for…zafrada (78)in #black • 5 months agoBlack Voter Project polling.This recontact polling from the Black Voter Project shows Black voters coming home to Kamala Harris over time as…pomeline (79)in #nate • 5 months agoGood Nate Silver piece on pollsters potentially "herding" this cycle.In other words, releasing results that are similar to others. Small quibble though- polling violates the central…bumblecat (78)in #new • 5 months agoNew Noble Predictive Insights poll of Arizona.Conducted from October 28–30. A 5 point gap between the Presidential race and Senate race seems a lot more realistic…arbitration (78)in #election • 5 months agoClose but not hopeless.Yes, it somehow really is this close, despite the rally with the creepy "MASS DEPORTATION NOW" signs, the talk of…leguna (78)in #election • 6 months agoNew poll from Arab News Research/YouGov of Arab Americans.Fairly similar to the Arab American Institute's polling of this group with both candidates getting around ~40%.…pomeline (79)in #election • 6 months agoIt is close either way, but yeah don't let doomerism take hold because of 1-2 point shifts.I imagine that's part of the whole angle of these Republican pollsters. Stoke Republican turnout and make Democrats…pomeline (79)in #election • 6 months agoAll 7 battlegrounds are well within average polling error.Also Florida is within a 2016 and 2020 sized error. And 8 Senate races are well within normal Senate polling error.…leguna (78)in #nyt • 6 months agoThis is a great New York Times piece on polling error and bias.As you can see polling error can go both ways. Even in the same election, polls have underestimated both candidates…pomeline (79)in #senate • 6 months agoHere are where the Senate and House election forecasts stand.Race to the White House: Senate: Republicans with a 62.5% chance of taking the Senate. House: Democrats with a 64.2%…zafrada (78)in #nebraska • 6 months agoThe Nebraska Senate race is only separated by a point in the polling.If Osborn wins it could be an interesting Senate balance. He's running as an independent and it is unclear who he will…zafrada (78)in #times • 6 months agoHere is the Times/Siena polling of Hispanic voters.Pretty close to Pew's polling of Hispanics. Some slippage from prior years, but not as much as other polling. Trump…
